Systematic analysis of development in Iran’s tourism market in the form of future study: A new method of strategic planning

Abstract Future study is vital now more than ever for countries to develop tourism and attract international tourists. The main purpose of this development gain benefits, especially economic ones. Modern methods future study, scenario building, are helpful in addressing issues at the national regional scale because their flexible strategies. According applied nature data were collected two ways: reviewing previous studies using questionnaires. questionnaires form a cross-impact matrix self-administrated. analyzed MICMAC analysis Scenario Wizard software. results method indicated that 10 variables have key/predominant roles terms influence system Iran’s market. In second phase 34 possible states key defined. Scenario-Wizard four scenarios strong consistencies, among those only one driver has ideal desirable characteristics conditions implementation.